Monaco

2 - 1

Marseille

Milestone: Monaco hit 10 matches without a loss. Conversely, Marseille Winless in 2 as Slump Continues.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 18:45 (UTC)


Facts

Monaco :
Folarin Balogun 74'
Aleksandr Golovin 59'
Marseille :
Amine Gouiri 85'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 20%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 12.50 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 49%
8%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Monaco (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 71% actual win rate for identical index values.

Marseille (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 71%
29%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Monaco : 55% (▲ 6%)
14% (▲ 6%)
Marseille : 31% (▼ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Monaco | 0.519 | 0.569 | ▲ 0.050
T | Marseille | 0.556 | 0.637 | ▲ 0.081
H | Monaco | 0.643 | 0.634 | ▼ 0.009
A | Marseille | 0.462 | 0.534 | ▲ 0.072
P | Monaco | 1.000 | 0.807 | ▼ 0.193
P | Marseille | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.7 - 3.1
Monaco : 43% (▼ 6%)
26% (▲ 18%)
Marseille : 31% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 23%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 2.2 Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 27%
AWAY : 33%

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