América

2 - 0

Puebla

Solid: América haven't dropped all points in 8 outings.

Sun, Aug 30, 2026 01:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 10%
Away: 10%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.72 - 5.26 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 58%
19%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Weight: [Close] (11.76)
Intensity: [Extreme] (88.24)

América (Fact Index 1.72):
Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Puebla (Fact Index 4.35):
Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 15% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

América:
T : 0.800 (0.890 / ▼0.090)
P : 0.800 (0.890 / ▼0.090)

Puebla:
T : 0.600 (0.581 / ▲0.019)
P : 0.600 (0.581 / ▲0.019)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 20 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
25%
AWAY : 15%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 18 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 61%
28%
Underdog : 11%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.2 - 1.0 (Model A.)
América : 60% (▲ 2%)
20% (▲ 1%)
Puebla : 20% (▼ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.2 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
América : 73% (▲ 15%)
17% (▼ 2%)
Puebla : 10% (▼ 13%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.3 - 4.9 - 7.9
América : 69% (▲ 11%)
19% (-)
Puebla : 12% (▼ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 7 game(s)

HOME : 86%
D : 14%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.3 (69%) Trend: 12 game(s)

HOME : 75%
D : 25%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 10%
AWAY : 10%

Based on Home team = 1.3 (69%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 20%
AWAY : 17%


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