Sao Paulo

0 - 1

Palmeiras

Winless streak reaches 4 for Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras. Conversely, Palmeiras Rolling: 3 Straight Wins.

Sun, Mar 22, 2026 00:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 22%
Away: 78%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.63 - 6.25 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 38%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Weight: [Adjacent] (0.00)
Intensity: [Extreme] (100.00)

Sao Paulo (Fact Index 2.63):
Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Palmeiras (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Sao Paulo:
T : 0.714 (0.767 / ▼0.053)
P : 0.667 (0.782 / ▼0.115)

Palmeiras:
T : 0.714 (0.711 / ▲0.003)
P : 0.833 (0.751 / ▲0.082)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 30%
20%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 7 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 72%
14%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Sao Paulo : 38% (-)
21% (▲ 5%)
Palmeiras : 41% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Sao Paulo : 30% (▼ 8%)
29% (▲ 13%)
Palmeiras : 41% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.9 - 2.9 - 2.7
Sao Paulo : 33% (▼ 5%)
32% (▲ 16%)
Palmeiras : 35% (▼ 11%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 40%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Away team = 2.7 (35%) Trend: 24 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 50%
AWAY : 25%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 23%
D : 37%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 2.7 (35%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 27%
AWAY : 30%


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