Sparta Rotterdam

2 - 2

Zwolle

Sparta Rotterdam Proves Impossible to Beat on Their Own Turf. Meanwhile, Zwolle Road Warriors: 2-Match Unbeaten Streak.

Fri, Sep 4, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 40%
Away: 30%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 3.57 - 2.56)
HOMETEAM: 33%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 39%

Weight: [Adjacent] (5.88)
Intensity: [Extreme] (94.12)

Sparta Rotterdam (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Zwolle (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Sparta Rotterdam:
T : 0.250 (0.500 / ▼0.250)
P : 0.250 (0.500 / ▼0.250)

Zwolle:
T : 0.250 (0.289 / ▼0.039)
P : 0.250 (0.289 / ▼0.039)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 7 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
57%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 25%
50%
Underdog : 25%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 30%
30%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 40%
33%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.3 (Model A.)
Sparta Rotterdam : 41% (▲ 8%)
26% (▼ 2%)
Zwolle : 33% (▼ 6%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Sparta Rotterdam : 46% (▲ 13%)
23% (▼ 5%)
Zwolle : 31% (▼ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.9 - 3.8
Sparta Rotterdam : 51% (▲ 18%)
24% (▼ 4%)
Zwolle : 24% (▼ 15%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (51%) Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 31%
AWAY : 15%


Football

Odds Trend: 17 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 29%
AWAY : 18%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 37%
AWAY : 23%


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