Cruzeiro

2 - 1

Chapecoense

Invincible: Cruzeiro go 3 matches without defeat. However, Chapecoense Winless in 2 as Slump Continues.

Sun, May 24, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 3.23 - 5.00)
HOMETEAM: 49%
31%
AWAYTEAM: 20%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (42.11)
Intensity: [Moderate] (57.89)

Cruzeiro (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 70% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Chapecoense (Fact Index 5.00):
Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cruzeiro:
T : 0.313 (0.431 / ▼0.118)
H : 0.375 (0.584 / ▼0.209)
P : 0.667 (0.629 / ▲0.038)

Chapecoense:
T : 0.067 (0.306 / ▼0.239)
A : 0.000 (0.173 / ▼0.173)
P : 0.000 (0.249 / ▼0.249)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 70%
10%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 9 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
11%
Underdog : 22%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Cruzeiro : 49% (-)
28% (▼ 3%)
Chapecoense : 23% (▲ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.9 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Cruzeiro : 46% (▼ 3%)
23% (▼ 8%)
Chapecoense : 31% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.4 - 4.9 - 8.2
Cruzeiro : 70% (▲ 21%)
19% (▼ 12%)
Chapecoense : 11% (▼ 9%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 20%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (70%) Trend: 10 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 20%
AWAY : 10%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 10%
AWAY : 10%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (70%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 17%
AWAY : 10%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy