Lille

1 - 1

Le Havre

The Lille Juggernaut: 12 matches since last defeat. Meanwhile, Le Havre Tie Loop: 5th Straight Draw.

Sun, May 3, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

Lille :
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 29'
Le Havre :
Issa Soumaré 33'
Soumaré et Diaw FRUSTRENT Lille dans la COURSE au podium | 32ème journée - Ligue 1 McDonald's 25/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 17%
Away: 17%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 3.57 - 5.88)
HOMETEAM: 55%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 17%

Lille (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Le Havre (Fact Index 5.88): Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 8% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
25%
AWAY : 8%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
30%
Underdog : 10%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Lille : 47% (▼ 8%)
24% (▼ 4%)
Le Havre : 29% (▲ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Lille | 0.548 | 0.623 | ▲ 0.075
T | Le Havre | 0.194 | 0.382 | ▲ 0.188
H | Lille | 0.533 | 0.656 | ▲ 0.123
A | Le Havre | 0.067 | 0.209 | ▲ 0.142
P | Lille | 0.833 | 0.911 | ▲ 0.078
P | Le Havre | 0.000 | 0.466 | ▲ 0.466
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 4.7 - 8.1
Lille : 68% (▲ 13%)
20% (▼ 8%)
Le Havre : 12% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 27%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 20%
AWAY : 10%

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