Chelsea

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Nottingham

Chelsea Rut Deepens: 6 Games Without Win. Conversely, Refusing to Yield: Nottingham’s 7-match unbeaten run.

Mon, May 4, 2026 14:00 (UTC)

Facts

  • Refusing to Yield: Nottingham’s 7-match unbeaten run.
  • Chelsea Rut Deepens: 6 Games Without Win.
  • Chelsea have lost their home advantage, falling in 4 straight games.
  • Road Warriors Nottingham: 4-Game Unbeaten Run Away.
  • Nottingham seals their 3rd win on the bounce.
  • Nottingham proves to be true road warriors with a 3rd consecutive away win.

    • Chelsea :
    João Pedro 90' +3
    Nottingham :
    Taiwo Awoniyi 52', 2'
    Igor Jesus 15' (Pen.)
    FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 38%
    D: 38%
    Away: 25%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (2.44 - 4.00 - 2.94)
    HOMETEAM: 41%
    25%
    AWAYTEAM: 34%

    Chelsea (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 24% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Nottingham (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 24%
    34%
    AWAY : 42%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 26%
    44%
    Underdog : 30%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 3.0 (Model A.)
    Chelsea : 28% (▼ 13%)
    20% (▼ 5%)
    Nottingham : 52% (▲ 18%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Chelsea | 0.382 | 0.553 | ▲ 0.171
    T | Nottingham | 0.294 | 0.470 | ▲ 0.176
    H | Chelsea | 0.353 | 0.530 | ▲ 0.177
    A | Nottingham | 0.353 | 0.486 | ▲ 0.133
    P | Chelsea | 0.167 | 0.193 | ▲ 0.026
    P | Nottingham | 0.500 | 0.848 | ▲ 0.348
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Average Odds : 1.7 - 4.0 - 4.7
    Chelsea : 56% (▲ 15%)
    24% (▼ 1%)
    Nottingham : 20% (▼ 14%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 53%
    D : 27%
    AWAY : 20%

    Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

    HOME : 43%
    D : 20%
    AWAY : 37%

    Chelsea

    Last 3:
    Premier League 2026-05-09 Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea
    FA Cup 2026-04-26 Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds
    Premier League 2026-04-21 Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea

    Next 3:
    FA Cup 2026-05-16 Chelsea - Manchester City


    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Nottingham

    Last 3:
    Europa League 2026-05-07 Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nottingham
    Europa League 2026-04-30 Nottingham 1 - 0 Aston Villa
    Premier League 2026-04-24 Sunderland 0 - 5 Nottingham

    Next 3:
    Premier League 2026-05-10 Nottingham - Newcastle
    Premier League 2026-05-17 Manchester Utd - Nottingham

    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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