USA

4 - 1

Paraguay

USA Home Streak: 8 Games Without Defeat.

Sat, Jun 13, 2026 01:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

Highlights | USA 1-4 Belgium | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | Germany (3)1-1(4) Paraguay | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | Paraguay 0-1 France | FIFA World Cup 2026™
Highlights | USA 2-0 Bosnia And Herzegovina | FIFA World Cup 2026™
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 2.94 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 33%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

USA (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 40% in this event.

Paraguay (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
27%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
27%
Underdog : 10%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
20%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
23%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 3.0 (Model A.)
USA : 33% (-)
25% (▼ 9%)
Paraguay : 42% (▲ 9%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.9 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
USA : 46% (▲ 13%)
23% (▼ 11%)
Paraguay : 31% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.5 - 4.3
USA : 49% (▲ 16%)
28% (▼ 6%)
Paraguay : 23% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 2.0 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 54%
D : 33%
AWAY : 13%


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