Newcastle

1 - 2

Bournemouth

Newcastle Form has dropped with a 3-match slump. Conversely, No Way Through: Bournemouth go 13 matches unbeaten.

Sat, Apr 18, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

Newcastle :
William Osula 68'
Bournemouth :
Adrien Truffert 85'
Marcus Tavernier 32'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 10%
D: 60%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.55 - 2.27 - 2.94)
HOMETEAM: 22%
44%
AWAYTEAM: 34%

Newcastle (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Bournemouth (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 75%
0%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Newcastle : 30% (▲ 8%)
35% (▼ 9%)
Bournemouth : 35% (▲ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Newcastle | 0.375 | 0.486 | ▲ 0.111
T | Bournemouth | 0.313 | 0.493 | ▲ 0.180
H | Newcastle | 0.500 | 0.535 | ▲ 0.035
A | Bournemouth | 0.250 | 0.420 | ▲ 0.170
P | Newcastle | 0.333 | 0.428 | ▲ 0.095
P | Bournemouth | 0.167 | 0.572 | ▲ 0.405
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.8 - 3.5
Newcastle : 48% (▲ 26%)
25% (▼ 19%)
Bournemouth : 27% (▼ 7%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 46%
D : 27%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 23%
AWAY : 30%

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