Arsenal

1 - 2

Bournemouth

Hard to Beat: Bournemouth mark 12 matches since last defeat.

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 11:30 (UTC)


Facts

Arsenal :
Viktor Gyökeres 35' (Pen.)
Bournemouth :
Alex Scott 74'
Eli Junior Kroupi 17'
EVERY Weekend Goal | Matchweek 32 | 2025/26 Premier League Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 63%
D: 0%
Away: 38%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 3.23 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 46%
31%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Arsenal (Fact Index 2.17): Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 59% actual win rate for identical index values.

Bournemouth (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 35% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 59%
6%
AWAY : 35%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 56%
11%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Arsenal : 47% (▲ 1%)
26% (▼ 5%)
Bournemouth : 27% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Arsenal | 0.677 | 0.790 | ▲ 0.113
T | Bournemouth | 0.290 | 0.486 | ▲ 0.196
H | Arsenal | 0.800 | 0.854 | ▲ 0.054
A | Bournemouth | 0.200 | 0.404 | ▲ 0.204
P | Arsenal | 0.667 | 0.757 | ▲ 0.090
P | Bournemouth | 0.167 | 0.572 | ▲ 0.405
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 4.6 - 7.4
Arsenal : 66% (▲ 20%)
21% (▼ 10%)
Bournemouth : 13% (▼ 10%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 33%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 17%
AWAY : 20%

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