Sunderland

0 - 1

Brighton

Fortress Crumbles: Sunderland Lose 3rd Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Brighton proves to be true road warriors with a 2nd consecutive away win.

Sat, Mar 14, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

Brighton :
Yankuba Minteh 58'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 50%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 3.45 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 40%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Sunderland (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brighton (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 37%
20%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 58%
21%
Underdog : 21%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Sunderland : 38% (▼ 2%)
27% (▼ 2%)
Brighton : 35% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Sunderland | 0.345 | 0.459 | ▲ 0.114
T | Brighton | 0.310 | 0.518 | ▲ 0.208
H | Sunderland | 0.500 | 0.665 | ▲ 0.165
A | Brighton | 0.214 | 0.428 | ▲ 0.214
P | Sunderland | 0.333 | 0.408 | ▲ 0.075
P | Brighton | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.4 - 3.3 - 2.2
Sunderland : 28% (▼ 12%)
29% (-)
Brighton : 43% (▲ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 27%
AWAY : 53%

Awayteam = 2.2 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%

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