Nijmegen

1 - 3

Feyenoord

Nijmegen Suffers 2nd Consecutive Home Defeat. Meanwhile, Invincible: Feyenoord go 14 matches without defeat.

Sat, Sep 5, 2026 14:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 10%
D: 50%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.13 - 2.33 - 4.00)
HOMETEAM: 32%
43%
AWAYTEAM: 25%

Weight: [Close] (23.53)
Intensity: [Fierce] (76.47)

Nijmegen (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 68% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Feyenoord (Fact Index 4.00):
Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 19% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

No Home team data available.

Feyenoord:
T : 0.500 (0.660 / ▼0.160)
P : 0.500 (0.660 / ▼0.160)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 68%
13%
AWAY : 19%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 11 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 64%
18%
Underdog : 18%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.9 (Model A.)
Nijmegen : 30% (▼ 2%)
33% (▼ 10%)
Feyenoord : 37% (▲ 12%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Nijmegen : 36% (▲ 4%)
26% (▼ 17%)
Feyenoord : 38% (▲ 13%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.8 - 4.0 - 2.2
Nijmegen : 34% (▲ 2%)
23% (▼ 20%)
Feyenoord : 43% (▲ 18%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (43%) Trend: 20 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 40%
AWAY : 30%


Football

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (43%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 17%
AWAY : 43%


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