St. Pauli

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Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich Extension: St. Pauli Slump Reaches 4 Games. However, Unbeaten on the Road: Bayern Munich Run Hits 24.

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 16:30 (UTC)


Facts

Bayern Munich :
Raphaël Guerreiro 88' (Nicolas Jackson)
Nicolas Jackson 65' (Jamal Musiala)
Michael Olise 54' (Leon Goretzka)
Leon Goretzka 53'
Jamal Musiala 9' (Konrad Laimer)
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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (9.09 - 5.56 - 1.41)
HOMETEAM: 11%
18%
AWAYTEAM: 71%

St. Pauli (Fact Index 9.09): Expected Win % is 11%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Bayern Munich (Fact Index 1.41): Expected Win % is 71%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
St. Pauli : 14% (▲ 3%)
17% (▼ 1%)
Bayern Munich : 69% (▼ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | St. Pauli | 0.214 | 0.318 | ▲ 0.104
T | Bayern Munich | 0.821 | 0.846 | ▲ 0.025
H | St. Pauli | 0.308 | 0.386 | ▲ 0.078
A | Bayern Munich | 0.786 | 0.816 | ▲ 0.030
P | St. Pauli | 0.333 | 0.441 | ▲ 0.108
P | Bayern Munich | 0.833 | 0.742 | ▼ 0.091
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 7.8 - 5.4 - 1.4
St. Pauli : 12% (▲ 1%)
18% (-)
Bayern Munich : 70% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 11%
D : 5%
AWAY : 84%

Awayteam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 27%
AWAY : 46%

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