Metz

0 - 0

Lille

Fri, Feb 6, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 38%
Away: 63%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.00 - 5.88 - 1.69)
HOMETEAM: 25%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 59%

Metz (Fact Index 4.00): Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lille (Fact Index 1.69): Expected Win % is 59%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 14%
57%
AWAY : 29%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 33%
50%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Metz : 32% (▲ 7%)
21% (▲ 4%)
Lille : 48% (▼ 11%)


Average Odds : 4.6 - 3.9 - 1.8
Metz : 21% (▼ 4%)
24% (▲ 7%)
Lille : 55% (▼ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 3%
D : 40%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 20%
AWAY : 57%

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