Internacional

0 - 1

Bahia

Fortress Crumbles: Internacional Lose 3rd Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Tactical Masterclass: Bahia reach 5 without dropping all points.

Sun, Mar 15, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 33%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.88 - 2.38 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 17%
42%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Weight: [Distant] (78.95)
Intensity: [Tilted] (21.05)

Internacional (Fact Index 5.88):
Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Bahia (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Internacional:
T : 0.000 (0.249 / ▼0.249)
P : 0.000 (0.249 / ▼0.249)

Bahia:
T : 0.500 (0.660 / ▼0.160)
P : 0.500 (0.660 / ▼0.160)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
0%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Internacional : 33% (▲ 16%)
34% (▼ 8%)
Bahia : 33% (▼ 8%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Internacional : 24% (▲ 7%)
40% (▼ 2%)
Bahia : 36% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.5 - 3.8
Internacional : 48% (▲ 31%)
27% (▼ 15%)
Bahia : 25% (▼ 16%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 50%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (48%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 30%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (48%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 40%
AWAY : 23%


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