Everton

2 - 4

Brentford

Sun, Jan 4, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 40%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 3.85 - 4.00)
HOMETEAM: 49%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 25%

Everton (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brentford (Fact Index 4.00): Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 7% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
33%
AWAY : 7%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 55%
27%
Underdog : 18%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Everton : 42% (▼ 7%)
30% (▲ 4%)
Brentford : 29% (▲ 4%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.2 - 3.1
Everton : 39% (▼ 10%)
30% (▲ 4%)
Brentford : 30% (▲ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 32%
D : 28%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 2.4 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 33%
AWAY : 37%

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