Guadalajara Chivas

5 - 2

Tijuana

Points Piling Up: Guadalajara Chivas reach 4 games unbeaten.

Sat, Aug 22, 2026 23:07 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 56%
D: 33%
Away: 11%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.45 - 2.63 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 29%
38%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Weight: [Close] (23.53)
Intensity: [Fierce] (76.47)

Guadalajara Chivas (Fact Index 3.45):
Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Tijuana (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 40% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Guadalajara Chivas:
T : 0.500 (0.500 / -)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

Tijuana:
T : 0.750 (0.807 / ▼0.057)
P : 0.750 (0.807 / ▼0.057)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 40%
0%
Underdog : 60%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
30%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 44%
33%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 0.8 (Model A.)
Guadalajara Chivas : 43% (▲ 14%)
31% (▼ 7%)
Tijuana : 26% (▼ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Guadalajara Chivas : 46% (▲ 17%)
23% (▼ 15%)
Tijuana : 31% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 61.9%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.3 - 5.9
Guadalajara Chivas : 63% (▲ 34%)
21% (▼ 17%)
Tijuana : 16% (▼ 17%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 10 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 20%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 20 game(s)

HOME : 65%
D : 30%
AWAY : 5%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 23%
AWAY : 7%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


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