PromotionNeutral venue

Argentina

3 - 2

Extra time / 2-1

Cape Verde

Argentina confirms a run of 4 straight victories.

Fri, Jul 3, 2026 22:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 2.38 - 5.88)
HOMETEAM: 41%
42%
AWAYTEAM: 17%

Weight: [Distant] (61.70)
Intensity: [Tilted] (38.30)

Argentina (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 83% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Cape Verde (Fact Index 5.88):
Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 83%
0%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 80%
20%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Argentina : 39% (▼ 2%)
34% (▼ 8%)
Cape Verde : 27% (▲ 10%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.1 - 0.8 (Model B.4)
Argentina : 35% (▼ 6%)
30% (▼ 12%)
Cape Verde : 35% (▲ 18%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%)


Average Odds : 1.2 - 7.9 - 18.9
Argentina : 83% (▲ 42%)
12% (▼ 30%)
Cape Verde : 5% (▼ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.2 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 84%
D : 13%
AWAY : 3%


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