Botafogo RJ

1 - 2

Remo

Sat, May 2, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 3.13 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 47%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (57.89)
Intensity: [Moderate] (42.11)

Botafogo RJ (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Remo (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 24% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Botafogo RJ:
T : 0.417 (0.500 / ▼0.083)
H : 0.400 (0.565 / ▼0.165)
P : 0.500 (0.550 / ▼0.050)

Remo:
T : 0.077 (0.323 / ▼0.246)
A : 0.000 (0.193 / ▼0.193)
P : 0.167 (0.419 / ▼0.252)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 17 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
29%
AWAY : 24%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 9 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 56%
22%
Underdog : 22%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Botafogo RJ : 49% (▲ 2%)
26% (▼ 6%)
Remo : 25% (▲ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.1 - 1.6 (Model B.4)
Botafogo RJ : 46% (▼ 1%)
23% (▼ 9%)
Remo : 31% (▲ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.1 - 6.2
Botafogo RJ : 62% (▲ 15%)
23% (▼ 9%)
Remo : 15% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 62%
D : 25%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (62%) Trend: 15 game(s)

HOME : 80%
D : 13%
AWAY : 7%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 66%
D : 17%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (62%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 10%
AWAY : 23%


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