Sapporo

2 - 0

Nagano

Sapporo Clinches 5th Consecutive Victory.

Wed, May 6, 2026 05:00 (UTC)

Facts

  • Sapporo Clinches 5th Consecutive Victory.
  • Refusing to Yield: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo’s 5-match unbeaten run.
  • Fortress: Sapporo Wins 4th Straight at Home.
  • Home form is rock solid: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo has gone 4 matches at home without a loss.

    • Sapporo :
    Amadou Bakayoko 85'
    Takuma Arano 40'
    Nagano :
    -
    FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 33%
    D: 67%
    Away: 0%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (2.08 - 5.00 - 3.13)
    HOMETEAM: 48%
    20%
    AWAYTEAM: 32%

    Sapporo (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Nagano (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 35% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 50%
    15%
    AWAY : 35%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 62%
    23%
    Underdog : 15%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
    Sapporo : 57% (▲ 9%)
    19% (▼ 1%)
    Nagano : 24% (▼ 8%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Sapporo | 0.429 | 0.481 | ▲ 0.052
    T | Nagano | 0.143 | 0.237 | ▲ 0.094
    H | Sapporo | 0.667 | 0.543 | ▼ 0.124
    A | Nagano | 0.286 | 0.289 | ▲ 0.003
    P | Sapporo | 0.667 | 0.614 | ▼ 0.053
    P | Nagano | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Average Odds : 1.6 - 3.9 - 5.2
    Sapporo : 59% (▲ 11%)
    24% (▲ 4%)
    Nagano : 17% (▼ 15%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 63%
    D : 20%
    AWAY : 17%

    Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

    HOME : 60%
    D : 27%
    AWAY : 13%

    Sapporo

    Last 3:
    J2/J3 League 2026-05-09 Sapporo 4 - 3 Omiya Ardija
    J2/J3 League 2026-05-02 Gifu 0 - 3 Sapporo
    J2/J3 League 2026-04-29 Sapporo 2 - 1 Fujieda MYFC

    Next 3:



    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Nagano

    Last 3:
    J2/J3 League 2026-05-09 Nagano 2 - 3 Gifu
    J2/J3 League 2026-05-02 Nagano 0 - 0 Fujieda MYFC
    J2/J3 League 2026-04-29 Nagano 1 - 3 Fukushima Utd

    Next 3:



    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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