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Freiburg

3 - 1

Agg: 4-3

Braga

Home Sweet Home: Freiburg Secures 11th Consecutive Victory.

Thu, May 7, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Freiburg :
Lukas Kübler 72', 19'
Johan Manzambi 41'
Braga :
Pau Víctor 79'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 4.55 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 40%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Freiburg (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Braga (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
27%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 45%
30%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Freiburg : 43% (▲ 3%)
20% (▼ 2%)
Braga : 37% (▼ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Freiburg | 0.615 | 0.762 | ▲ 0.147
T | Braga | 0.615 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.096
H | Freiburg | 1.000 | 0.926 | ▼ 0.074
A | Braga | 0.500 | 0.648 | ▲ 0.148
P | Freiburg | 0.500 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.211
P | Braga | 0.500 | 0.687 | ▲ 0.187
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.7 - 4.7
Freiburg : 54% (▲ 14%)
26% (▲ 4%)
Braga : 20% (▼ 18%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 33%
AWAY : 10%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 20%
AWAY : 30%

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