Metz

0 - 1

Brest

0-0, 0-1

Ludovic Ajorque 69'
Daouda Guindo 22' RED

Metz are in a 5-Game Slump Against Brest. However, No Way Through: Brest go 5 matches unbeaten.

Sun, Mar 1, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 25%
D: 0%
Away: 75%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.57 - 3.70 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 28%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Metz (Fact Index 3.57): Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brest (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 45% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 25%
30%
AWAY : 45%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 19%
50%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Metz : 22% (▼ 6%)
21% (▼ 6%)
Brest : 57% (▲ 12%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 2.4 (Model B.3)
Metz : 17% (▼ 11%)
21% (▼ 6%)
Brest : 62% (▲ 17%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / 71.4)


Average Odds : 3.4 - 3.4 - 2.2
Metz : 28% (-)
28% (▲ 1%)
Brest : 44% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 33%
AWAY : 37%

Awayteam = 2.2 Trend:

HOME : 17%
D : 40%
AWAY : 43%

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