Gimcheon Sangmu

0 - 3

Incheon Utd

Gimcheon Sangmu have lost their home advantage, falling in 3 straight games. However, 6 Unbeaten for Incheon Utd on the Road.

Sat, May 9, 2026 07:30 (UTC)


Facts

[Full ENG] 2026 K LEAGUE 1 I R17 I Incheon vs Anyang I 15-Min Extended Highlights
[Full ENG] 2026 K LEAGUE 1 I R18 I Incheon vs Jeonbuk I 15-Min Extended Highlights
[AMBIENT SOUND] 2026 K LEAGUE 1 I R18 I Gangwon vs Gimcheon I 15-Min Extended Highlights
[AMBIENT SOUND] 2026 K LEAGUE 1 I R17 I Gimcheon vs Bucheon I 15-Min Extended Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 30%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.17 - 2.17 - 3.33)
HOMETEAM: 24%
46%
AWAYTEAM: 30%

Weight: [Close] (27.27)
Intensity: [Fierce] (72.73)

Gimcheon Sangmu (Fact Index 4.17):
Expected Win % is 24%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Incheon Utd (Fact Index 3.33):
Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Gimcheon Sangmu:
T : 0.167 (0.450 / ▼0.283)
H : 0.000 (0.318 / ▼0.318)
P : 0.333 (0.462 / ▼0.129)

Incheon Utd:
T : 0.333 (0.457 / ▼0.124)
A : 0.333 (0.543 / ▼0.210)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 25%
25%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 25%
25%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Gimcheon Sangmu : 36% (▲ 12%)
36% (▼ 10%)
Incheon Utd : 28% (▼ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Gimcheon Sangmu : 32% (▲ 8%)
33% (▼ 13%)
Incheon Utd : 35% (▲ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.2 - 3.0
Gimcheon Sangmu : 40% (▲ 16%)
29% (▼ 17%)
Incheon Utd : 31% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)
HOME : 80%
D : 0%
AWAY : 20%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 2.4 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 37%
D : 33%
AWAY : 30%


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