Liverpool

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Manchester City

Sun, Feb 8, 2026 16:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 20%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 2.94 - 3.33)
HOMETEAM: 37%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 30%

Liverpool (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 34% actual win rate for identical index values.

Manchester City (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 34%
33%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Liverpool : 44% (▲ 7%)
34% (-)
Manchester City : 23% (▼ 7%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.7 - 2.8
Liverpool : 41% (▲ 4%)
26% (▼ 8%)
Manchester City : 34% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 38%
D : 10%
AWAY : 52%

Hometeam = 2.4 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 23%
AWAY : 47%

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