Monaco

5 - 2

Metz

Sun, Sep 21, 2025 15:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 88%
D: 13%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.49 - 5.26 - 6.67)
HOMETEAM: 67%
19%
AWAYTEAM: 15%

Monaco (Fact Index 1.49): Expected Win % is 67%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Metz (Fact Index 6.67): Expected Win % is 15%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
67%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 33%
67%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Monaco : 84% (▲ 17%)
10% (▼ 9%)
Metz : 8% (▼ 7%)


Average Odds : 1.3 - 6.4 - 9.4
Monaco : 75% (▲ 8%)
15% (▼ 4%)
Metz : 10% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 80%
D : 12%
AWAY : 8%

Hometeam = 1.3 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 13%
AWAY : 17%

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