Vasco

1 - 1

Mirassol

Points Piling Up: Mirassol reach 2 games unbeaten.

Sat, Jul 25, 2026 23:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 25%
Away: 75%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 7.69 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 31%
13%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Weight: [Adjacent] (5.26)
Intensity: [Extreme] (94.74)

Vasco (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Mirassol (Fact Index 1.79):
Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Vasco:
T : 0.263 (0.401 / ▼0.138)
H : 0.500 (0.474 / ▲0.026)
A : 0.000 (0.334 / ▼0.334)
P : 0.167 (0.212 / ▼0.045)

Mirassol:
T : 0.278 (0.428 / ▼0.150)
H : 0.400 (0.526 / ▼0.126)
A : 0.125 (0.309 / ▼0.184)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 17%
66%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
75%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Vasco : 35% (▲ 4%)
19% (▲ 6%)
Mirassol : 46% (▼ 10%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.8 - 1.9 (Model B.4)
Vasco : 8% (▼ 23%)
25% (▲ 12%)
Mirassol : 67% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.3 - 3.7
Vasco : 46% (▲ 15%)
28% (▲ 15%)
Mirassol : 26% (▼ 30%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 12 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 33%
AWAY : 25%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 47%
AWAY : 13%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 23%
AWAY : 44%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 23%
AWAY : 23%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy