Oita Trinita

2 - 1

Yamagata

5-Match Unbeaten Streak for Oita Trinita. Meanwhile, Yamagata struggling to perform on the road, losing 2 consecutive games.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 08:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 17%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 4.35 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 35%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (35.00)
Intensity: [Fierce] (65.00)

Oita Trinita (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 67% in this event.

Yamagata (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Oita Trinita:
T : 0.125 (0.550 / ▼0.425)
H : 0.250 (0.629 / ▼0.379)
A : 0.000 (0.289 / ▼0.289)
P : 0.167 (0.608 / ▼0.441)

Yamagata:
T : 0.500 (0.660 / ▼0.160)
H : 0.600 (0.674 / ▼0.074)
P : 0.500 (0.648 / ▼0.148)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
33%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 33%
67%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
20%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 29 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 41%
28%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Oita Trinita : 37% (▲ 2%)
26% (▲ 3%)
Yamagata : 37% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.7 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Oita Trinita : 23% (▼ 12%)
32% (▲ 9%)
Yamagata : 45% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.6 - 3.2 - 2.6
Oita Trinita : 36% (▲ 1%)
29% (▲ 6%)
Yamagata : 36% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team 2.6 = 2.6 Awayteam = 36% Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Football

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 38%
D : 31%
AWAY : 31%

Based on Home team 2.6 = 2.6 Awayteam = 36% Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 23%
D : 37%
AWAY : 40%


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