PromotionNeutral venue

Netherlands

1 - 1

Extra time and penalties (2-3)

Morocco

Impressive: Netherlands reach 26 matches undefeated. Conversely, Morocco: Unbeaten run extended to 12 fixtures.

Tue, Jun 30, 2026 01:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 100%
Away: 0%

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 3.03 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 36%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Weight: [Adjacent] (0.00)
Intensity: [Extreme] (100.00)

Netherlands (Fact Index 2.78):
Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Morocco (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
33%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 26 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 42%
31%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Netherlands : 42% (▲ 6%)
25% (▼ 8%)
Morocco : 33% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.9 (Model B.4)
Netherlands : 35% (▼ 1%)
30% (▼ 3%)
Morocco : 35% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.1 - 3.5
Netherlands : 42% (▲ 6%)
31% (▼ 2%)
Morocco : 27% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)
HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 2.3 Trend: 18 game(s)
HOME : 39%
D : 55%
AWAY : 6%


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