Omiya Ardija

3 - 2

Iwaki

Perfect 2: Omiya Ardija Grabs Another Consecutive Win.

Wed, May 6, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

Omiya Ardija :
Oriola Sunday 49'
Caprini 42'
Toya Izumi 14'
Iwaki :
Atsuki Yamanaka 80'
Ryo Endo 24'
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 40%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.85 - 3.45 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 26%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Omiya Ardija (Fact Index 3.85): Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.

Iwaki (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 26% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 44%
30%
AWAY : 26%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 46%
23%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Omiya Ardija : 50% (▲ 24%)
21% (▼ 8%)
Iwaki : 29% (▼ 16%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Omiya Ardija | 0.500 | 0.618 | ▲ 0.118
T | Iwaki | 0.500 | 0.621 | ▲ 0.121
H | Omiya Ardija | 0.571 | 0.696 | ▲ 0.125
A | Iwaki | 0.429 | 0.602 | ▲ 0.173
P | Omiya Ardija | 0.333 | 0.466 | ▲ 0.133
P | Iwaki | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.3 - 2.9
Omiya Ardija : 41% (▲ 15%)
27% (▼ 2%)
Iwaki : 32% (▼ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 13%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 30%
AWAY : 23%

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