Viking

2 - 1

Sarpsborg 08

Viking remains rock solid in their last 7 home fixtures.

Sat, Aug 8, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.08 - 4.35 - 3.45)
HOMETEAM: 48%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 29%

Weight: [Close] (26.67)
Intensity: [Fierce] (73.33)

Viking (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 41% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Sarpsborg 08 (Fact Index 3.45):
Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 26% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Viking:
T : 0.800 (0.780 / ▲0.020)
H : 1.000 (0.824 / ▲0.176)
A : 0.667 (0.711 / ▼0.044)
P : 0.667 (0.711 / ▼0.044)

Sarpsborg 08:
T : 0.400 (0.482 / ▼0.082)
H : 0.571 (0.648 / ▼0.077)
A : 0.250 (0.392 / ▼0.142)
P : 0.667 (0.682 / ▼0.015)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 27 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 41%
33%
AWAY : 26%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 19 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 37%
47%
Underdog : 16%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.9 - 1.1 (Model A.)
Viking : 60% (▲ 12%)
19% (▼ 4%)
Sarpsborg 08 : 21% (▼ 8%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
Viking : 46% (▼ 2%)
23% (-)
Sarpsborg 08 : 31% (▲ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.4 - 5.2 - 6.5
Viking : 68% (▲ 20%)
18% (▼ 5%)
Sarpsborg 08 : 14% (▼ 15%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (68%) Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Odds Trend: 22 game(s)

HOME : 55%
D : 18%
AWAY : 27%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (68%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 66%
D : 17%
AWAY : 17%


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