Sri Lanka

4 - 1

Bhutan

Home Fortress Sri Lanka: 2-Game Unbeaten Run at Home. Meanwhile, Bhutan Road Trip Hell: 3rd Straight Away Loss.

Mon, Jun 8, 2026 11:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 3.13 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 36%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Sri Lanka (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 46% actual win rate for identical index values.

Bhutan (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 46%
37%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 47%
40%
Underdog : 13%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Sri Lanka : 40% (▲ 4%)
28% (▼ 4%)
Bhutan : 32% (-)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.9 - 5.8
Sri Lanka : 63% (▲ 27%)
20% (▼ 12%)
Bhutan : 17% (▼ 15%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 31%
AWAY : 19%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 17%
AWAY : 20%

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