Jeonbuk

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Incheon Utd

Incheon Utd Proves Tough to Beat Away from Home.

Tue, Apr 21, 2026 10:30 (UTC)


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 40%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.63 - 2.78 - 3.85)
HOMETEAM: 38%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 26%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (54.55)
Intensity: [Moderate] (45.45)

Jeonbuk (Fact Index 2.63):
Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Incheon Utd (Fact Index 3.85):
Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Jeonbuk:
T : 0.375 (0.581 / ▼0.206)
P : 0.500 (0.711 / ▼0.211)

Incheon Utd:
T : 0.250 (0.422 / ▼0.172)
A : 0.250 (0.500 / ▼0.250)
P : 0.333 (0.462 / ▼0.129)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 21 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
14%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 18 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 55%
17%
Underdog : 28%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Jeonbuk : 43% (▲ 5%)
31% (▼ 5%)
Incheon Utd : 26% (-)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Jeonbuk : 37% (▼ 1%)
34% (▼ 2%)
Incheon Utd : 29% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.4 - 3.9
Jeonbuk : 48% (▲ 10%)
28% (▼ 8%)
Incheon Utd : 24% (▼ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)
HOME : 80%
D : 0%
AWAY : 20%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 1.9 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 63%
D : 10%
AWAY : 27%


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