Tijuana

2 - 0

Pumas UNAM

Tijuana dominates at home, making it 6 consecutive home victories.

Sat, Aug 29, 2026 03:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 22%
D: 44%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 3.33 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 35%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (35.29)
Intensity: [Fierce] (64.71)

Tijuana (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 36% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Pumas UNAM (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Tijuana:
T : 0.600 (0.543 / ▲0.057)
P : 0.600 (0.543 / ▲0.057)

Pumas UNAM:
T : 0.400 (0.592 / ▼0.192)
P : 0.400 (0.592 / ▼0.192)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 36%
37%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
37%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.4 (Model A.)
Tijuana : 36% (▲ 1%)
28% (▼ 2%)
Pumas UNAM : 36% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.8 (Model B.4)
Tijuana : 32% (▼ 3%)
25% (▼ 5%)
Pumas UNAM : 43% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.3 - 3.1
Tijuana : 42% (▲ 7%)
28% (▼ 2%)
Pumas UNAM : 30% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 9 game(s)

HOME : 56%
D : 33%
AWAY : 11%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 30%
AWAY : 20%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 20%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 30%
AWAY : 30%


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