Boca Juniors

3 - 0

Union de Santa Fe

Points Piling Up: Boca Juniors reach 10 games unbeaten. Conversely, Union de Santa Fe Form has dropped with a 3-match slump.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 00:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 25%
D: 50%
Away: 25%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 2.63 - 6.67)
HOMETEAM: 47%
38%
AWAYTEAM: 15%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (34.48)
Intensity: [Fierce] (65.52)

Boca Juniors (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Union de Santa Fe (Fact Index 6.67):
Expected Win % is 15%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Boca Juniors:
T : 0.400 (0.578 / ▼0.178)
H : 0.750 (0.807 / ▼0.057)
A : 0.167 (0.462 / ▼0.295)
P : 0.500 (0.711 / ▼0.211)

Union de Santa Fe:
T : 0.400 (0.520 / ▼0.120)
H : 0.600 (0.602 / ▼0.002)
A : 0.200 (0.408 / ▼0.208)
P : 0.500 (0.592 / ▼0.092)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
50%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 40%
60%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Boca Juniors : 51% (▲ 4%)
33% (▼ 5%)
Union de Santa Fe : 16% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Boca Juniors : 41% (▼ 6%)
38% (-)
Union de Santa Fe : 21% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 3.8 - 5.9
Boca Juniors : 60% (▲ 13%)
25% (▼ 13%)
Union de Santa Fe : 16% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 33%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 17 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 24%
AWAY : 6%


Football

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 69%
D : 23%
AWAY : 8%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 23%
AWAY : 17%


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