PSG

2 - 1

Paris

Sun, Jan 4, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 4.35 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 57%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

PSG (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 66% actual win rate for identical index values.

Paris (Fact Index 4.76): Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 66%
17%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 75%
0%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
PSG : 62% (▲ 5%)
23% (-)
Paris : 16% (▼ 5%)


Average Odds : 1.2 - 6.9 - 15.1
PSG : 80% (▲ 23%)
14% (▼ 9%)
Paris : 6% (▼ 15%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 93%
D : 7%
AWAY : 0%

Hometeam = 1.2 Trend:

HOME : 87%
D : 10%
AWAY : 3%

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