Everton

3 - 0

Chelsea

Fortress: Everton Wins 2nd Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Chelsea Form has dropped with a 2-match slump.

Sat, Mar 21, 2026 17:30 (UTC)


Facts

Everton :
Iliman Ndiaye 76'
Beto 62', 33'
EXTENDED Highlights: Everton 3-0 Chelsea
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 30%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.85 - 4.17 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 26%
24%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Everton (Fact Index 3.85): Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chelsea (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
13%
AWAY : 54%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 55%
18%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Everton : 23% (▼ 3%)
22% (▼ 2%)
Chelsea : 55% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Everton | 0.400 | 0.491 | ▲ 0.091
T | Chelsea | 0.433 | 0.632 | ▲ 0.199
H | Everton | 0.333 | 0.482 | ▲ 0.149
A | Chelsea | 0.467 | 0.660 | ▲ 0.193
P | Everton | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
P | Chelsea | 0.333 | 0.602 | ▲ 0.269
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.5 - 3.5 - 2.1
Everton : 28% (▲ 2%)
27% (▲ 3%)
Chelsea : 45% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 33%
AWAY : 47%

Awayteam = 2.1 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 23%
AWAY : 50%

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