Internacional

1 - 2

Cruzeiro

Internacional Winless in 3 as Slump Continues. However, 5-Match Unbeaten Streak for Cruzeiro.

Thu, Jul 23, 2026 00:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 43%
D: 29%
Away: 29%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 3.45 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 36%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Close] (15.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (84.21)

Internacional (Fact Index 2.78):
Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Cruzeiro (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Internacional:
T : 0.278 (0.485 / ▼0.207)
H : 0.333 (0.565 / ▼0.232)
A : 0.222 (0.416 / ▼0.194)
P : 0.333 (0.531 / ▼0.198)

Cruzeiro:
T : 0.333 (0.450 / ▼0.117)
H : 0.400 (0.592 / ▼0.192)
A : 0.250 (0.289 / ▼0.039)
P : 0.500 (0.543 / ▼0.043)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
27%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 54%
23%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Internacional : 47% (▲ 11%)
25% (▼ 4%)
Cruzeiro : 28% (▼ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Internacional : 36% (-)
30% (▲ 1%)
Cruzeiro : 34% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.2 - 3.2
Internacional : 42% (▲ 6%)
29% (-)
Cruzeiro : 29% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 15 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 20%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 20%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%


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