Liverpool

4 - 1

Newcastle

Sat, Jan 31, 2026 20:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 10%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.22 - 3.45 - 3.85)
HOMETEAM: 45%
29%
AWAYTEAM: 26%

Liverpool (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 55% actual win rate for identical index values.

Newcastle (Fact Index 3.85): Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 55%
31%
AWAY : 14%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 65%
30%
Underdog : 5%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Liverpool : 48% (▲ 3%)
31% (▲ 2%)
Newcastle : 21% (▼ 5%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 4.1 - 4.2
Liverpool : 54% (▲ 9%)
23% (▼ 6%)
Newcastle : 23% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 55%
D : 25%
AWAY : 20%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 23%
AWAY : 40%

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