Bournemouth

3 - 0

Crystal Palace

Solid: Bournemouth haven't dropped all points in 15 outings. Conversely, Crystal Palace Reeling: 2nd Consecutive Loss.

Sun, May 3, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

Bournemouth :
Rayan 77'
Eli Junior Kroupi 32' (Pen.)
Jefferson Lerma 10' (OG)
Crystal Palace :
-
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 38%
D: 38%
Away: 25%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 1.82 - 5.56)
HOMETEAM: 27%
55%
AWAYTEAM: 18%

Bournemouth (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Crystal Palace (Fact Index 5.56): Expected Win % is 18%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Bournemouth : 33% (▲ 6%)
39% (▼ 16%)
Crystal Palace : 28% (▲ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Bournemouth | 0.324 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.176
T | Crystal Palace | 0.333 | 0.474 | ▲ 0.141
H | Bournemouth | 0.353 | 0.588 | ▲ 0.235
A | Crystal Palace | 0.438 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.062
P | Bournemouth | 0.333 | 0.592 | ▲ 0.259
P | Crystal Palace | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.3 - 5.3
Bournemouth : 60% (▲ 33%)
22% (▼ 33%)
Crystal Palace : 18% (-)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 46%
D : 37%
AWAY : 17%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 23%
AWAY : 13%

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