Botafogo RJ

3 - 1

Corinthians

Botafogo RJ: Unbeaten run extended to 2 fixtures. Meanwhile, Corinthians struggling to perform on the road, losing 2 consecutive games.

Sun, May 17, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 44%
D: 22%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 2.38 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 37%
42%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Weight: [Adjacent] (0.00)
Intensity: [Extreme] (100.00)

Botafogo RJ (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Corinthians (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Botafogo RJ:
T : 0.357 (0.488 / ▼0.131)
H : 0.333 (0.528 / ▼0.195)
P : 0.333 (0.592 / ▼0.259)

Corinthians:
T : 0.267 (0.454 / ▼0.187)
A : 0.143 (0.392 / ▼0.249)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
20%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
20%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Botafogo RJ : 37% (-)
34% (▼ 8%)
Corinthians : 29% (▲ 8%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Botafogo RJ : 40% (▲ 3%)
35% (▼ 7%)
Corinthians : 25% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.2 - 3.3
Botafogo RJ : 42% (▲ 5%)
30% (▼ 12%)
Corinthians : 28% (▲ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 15 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 7%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 13%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 46%
D : 27%
AWAY : 27%


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