Vitória

1 - 0

Mirassol

Vitória FC is showcasing its dominance at home with an unbeaten run of 2 games. Conversely, Losing Skid Hits 3 for Struggling Mirassol.

Sun, Mar 22, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 33%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 2.94 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 33%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Weight: [Close] (10.53)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.47)

Vitória (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 40% in this event.

Mirassol (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 20% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Vitória:
T : 0.333 (0.386 / ▼0.053)
P : 0.333 (0.386 / ▼0.053)

Mirassol:
T : 0.167 (0.462 / ▼0.295)
P : 0.167 (0.462 / ▼0.295)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
40%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 43%
40%
Underdog : 17%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
17%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
27%
Underdog : 13%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Vitória : 33% (-)
34% (-)
Mirassol : 33% (-)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Vitória : 47% (▲ 14%)
31% (▼ 3%)
Mirassol : 22% (▼ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.6 - 3.2 - 2.8
Vitória : 37% (▲ 4%)
29% (▼ 5%)
Mirassol : 34% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 40%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 2.6 (37%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 20%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 2.6 (37%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 30%
AWAY : 43%


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