Lyon

3 - 0

Nantes

Sun, Nov 30, 2025 19:45 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 30%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.22 - 3.03 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 45%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Lyon (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 75% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nantes (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 75%
25%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 75%
25%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Lyon : 48% (▲ 3%)
33% (-)
Nantes : 20% (▼ 3%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.6 - 6.7
Lyon : 65% (▲ 20%)
21% (▼ 12%)
Nantes : 14% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 37%
AWAY : 0%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 20%
AWAY : 20%

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