Manchester Utd

vs

Nottingham

Solid: Manchester Utd haven't dropped all points in 4 outings. Conversely, Hard to Beat: Nottingham mark 8 matches since last defeat.

Sun, May 17, 2026 11:30 (UTC)

Facts

  • Hard to Beat: Nottingham mark 8 matches since last defeat.
  • Solid: Manchester Utd haven't dropped all points in 4 outings.
  • Nottingham unbeaten stretch on the road hits 4 games.
  • Nottingham proves to be true road warriors with a 3rd consecutive away win.
  • Manchester Utd dominates at home, making it 2 consecutive home victories.
  • Manchester Utd remains rock solid in their last 2 home fixtures.

    • FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 60%
    D: 10%
    Away: 30%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (3.13 - 3.57 - 2.50)
    HOMETEAM: 32%
    28%
    AWAYTEAM: 40%

    Manchester Utd (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Nottingham (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 44%
    33%
    AWAY : 23%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 34%
    33%
    Underdog : 33%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
    Manchester Utd : 40% (▲ 8%)
    27% (▼ 1%)
    Nottingham : 33% (▼ 7%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Manchester Utd | 0.500 | 0.587 | ▲ 0.087
    T | Nottingham | 0.306 | 0.486 | ▲ 0.180
    H | Manchester Utd | 0.667 | 0.655 | ▼ 0.012
    A | Nottingham | 0.389 | 0.513 | ▲ 0.124
    P | Manchester Utd | 0.500 | 0.581 | ▲ 0.081
    P | Nottingham | 0.667 | 0.868 | ▲ 0.201
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Average Odds : 1.6 - 4.3 - 4.9
    Manchester Utd : 59% (▲ 27%)
    22% (▼ 6%)
    Nottingham : 19% (▼ 21%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 60%
    D : 17%
    AWAY : 23%

    Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

    HOME : 64%
    D : 23%
    AWAY : 13%

    Manchester Utd

    Last 3:
    Premier League 2026-05-09 Sunderland 0 - 0 Manchester Utd
    Premier League 2026-05-03 Manchester Utd 3 - 2 Liverpool
    Premier League 2026-04-27 Manchester Utd 2 - 1 Brentford

    Next 3:



    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Nottingham

    Last 3:
    Premier League 2026-05-10 Nottingham 1 - 1 Newcastle
    Europa League 2026-05-07 Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nottingham
    Premier League 2026-05-04 Chelsea 1 - 3 Nottingham

    Next 3:



    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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