Cruzeiro

0 - 1

Botafogo RJ

Botafogo RJ Extension: Cruzeiro Slump Reaches 2 Games. Meanwhile, 3-Match Unbeaten Streak for Botafogo RJ.

Sun, Jul 26, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 38%
D: 38%
Away: 25%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 3.13 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 41%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Weight: [Close] (10.53)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.47)

Cruzeiro (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 52% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Botafogo RJ (Fact Index 3.70):
Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 26% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cruzeiro:
T : 0.368 (0.465 / ▼0.097)
H : 0.400 (0.592 / ▼0.192)
A : 0.333 (0.334 / ▼0.001)
P : 0.500 (0.538 / ▼0.038)

Botafogo RJ:
T : 0.368 (0.510 / ▼0.142)
H : 0.444 (0.586 / ▼0.142)
A : 0.300 (0.444 / ▼0.144)
P : 0.333 (0.592 / ▼0.259)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 27 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 52%
22%
AWAY : 26%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 20 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 45%
30%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Cruzeiro : 45% (▲ 4%)
26% (▼ 6%)
Botafogo RJ : 29% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.5 (Model B.4)
Cruzeiro : 36% (▼ 5%)
27% (▼ 5%)
Botafogo RJ : 37% (▲ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.6 - 4.6
Cruzeiro : 53% (▲ 12%)
26% (▼ 6%)
Botafogo RJ : 21% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 31%
AWAY : 15%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 23%
AWAY : 17%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 30%
AWAY : 20%


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