Toulouse

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Lens

Fri, Jan 2, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 14%
D: 14%
Away: 71%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.35 - 4.55 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 23%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Toulouse (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lens (Fact Index 1.79): Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
20%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 20%
20%
Underdog : 60%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Toulouse : 28% (▲ 5%)
28% (▲ 6%)
Lens : 45% (▼ 11%)


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.4 - 2.6
Toulouse : 34% (▲ 11%)
29% (▲ 7%)
Lens : 37% (▼ 19%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 20%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 2.6 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 33%
AWAY : 40%

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