Coritiba

2 - 2

Internacional

Coritiba Home Guardians: 5-Match Unbeaten Streak. Meanwhile, Internacional Road Warriors: 4-Match Unbeaten Streak.

Sat, May 9, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 40%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.57 - 2.56 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 28%
39%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Weight: [Close] (10.53)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.47)

Coritiba (Fact Index 3.57):
Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 36% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Internacional (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Coritiba:
T : 0.357 (0.480 / ▼0.123)
H : 0.333 (0.572 / ▼0.239)
P : 0.167 (0.419 / ▼0.252)

Internacional:
T : 0.286 (0.500 / ▼0.214)
A : 0.333 (0.550 / ▼0.217)
P : 0.333 (0.608 / ▼0.275)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 36%
37%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
37%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Coritiba : 31% (▲ 3%)
35% (▼ 4%)
Internacional : 34% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Coritiba : 46% (▲ 18%)
23% (▼ 16%)
Internacional : 31% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.7 - 3.2 - 2.7
Coritiba : 35% (▲ 7%)
30% (▼ 9%)
Internacional : 35% (▲ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 37%
AWAY : 38%

Based on Home team 2.7 = 2.7 Awayteam = 35% Trend: 9 game(s)

HOME : 22%
D : 45%
AWAY : 33%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 44%
D : 23%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team 2.7 = 2.7 Awayteam = 35% Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%


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