Bahia

vs

Vasco

Refusing to Yield: Bahia’s 5-match unbeaten run. However, Vasco Away Woes Continue: 2nd Straight Loss.

Sun, Aug 9, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 57%
D: 14%
Away: 29%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 3.57 - 4.00)
HOMETEAM: 47%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 25%

Weight: [Distant] (68.42)
Intensity: [Tilted] (31.58)

Bahia (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 56% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Vasco (Fact Index 4.00):
Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 24% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Bahia:
T : 0.381 (0.548 / ▼0.167)
H : 0.364 (0.638 / ▼0.274)
A : 0.400 (0.450 / ▼0.050)
P : 0.333 (0.592 / ▼0.259)

Vasco:
T : 0.250 (0.404 / ▼0.154)
H : 0.455 (0.476 / ▼0.021)
A : 0.000 (0.334 / ▼0.334)
P : 0.167 (0.173 / ▼0.006)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 25 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 56%
20%
AWAY : 24%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 15 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
20%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 0.8 (Model A.)
Bahia : 54% (▲ 7%)
27% (▼ 1%)
Vasco : 19% (▼ 6%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Bahia : 53% (▲ 6%)
25% (▼ 3%)
Vasco : 22% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.5 - 3.7
Bahia : 48% (▲ 1%)
27% (▼ 1%)
Vasco : 25% (-)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 50%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (48%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 30%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (48%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 40%
AWAY : 23%


User's choice

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy