Paraguay W

2 - 0

Ecuador W

Fortress: Paraguay W Wins 2nd Straight at Home.

Fri, Apr 10, 2026 23:00 (UTC)


Facts

Paraguay W :
Camila Arrieta 90' +8 (Pen.)
Cindy Ramos 32' (D.M. Quintana)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 75%
D: 25%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.45 - 3.33 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 29%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Paraguay W (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Ecuador W (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
20%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 52%
20%
Underdog : 28%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Paraguay W : 37% (▲ 8%)
27% (▼ 3%)
Ecuador W : 36% (▼ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Paraguay W | 0.250 | 0.289 | ▲ 0.039
T | Ecuador W | 0.250 | 0.767 | ▲ 0.517
P | Paraguay W | 0.250 | 0.289 | ▲ 0.039
P | Ecuador W | 0.250 | 0.767 | ▲ 0.517
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.3 - 2.8
Paraguay W : 40% (▲ 11%)
27% (▼ 3%)
Ecuador W : 33% (▼ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 40%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 33%
AWAY : 13%

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