Mlada Boleslav

4 - 0

Ostrava

Tactical Masterclass: Mlada Boleslav reach 6 without dropping all points. However, Ostrava Road Trip Hell: 2nd Straight Away Loss.

Sun, Sep 6, 2026 11:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 17%
D: 67%
Away: 17%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 2.56 - 3.57)
HOMETEAM: 33%
39%
AWAYTEAM: 28%

Weight: [Close] (26.67)
Intensity: [Fierce] (73.33)

Mlada Boleslav (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Ostrava (Fact Index 3.57):
Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Mlada Boleslav:
T : 0.600 (0.687 / ▼0.087)
P : 0.600 (0.687 / ▼0.087)

Ostrava:
T : 0.600 (0.371 / ▲0.229)
P : 0.600 (0.371 / ▲0.229)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
37%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
37%
Underdog : 13%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 1.4 (Model A.)
Mlada Boleslav : 29% (▼ 4%)
34% (▼ 5%)
Ostrava : 37% (▲ 9%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 0.8 (Model B.4)
Mlada Boleslav : 39% (▲ 6%)
30% (▼ 9%)
Ostrava : 31% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.4 - 2.9
Mlada Boleslav : 40% (▲ 7%)
27% (▼ 12%)
Ostrava : 32% (▲ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 50%
AWAY : 25%

Based on Home team = 2.3 (40%) Trend: 14 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 14%
AWAY : 29%


Football

Odds Trend: 19 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 26%
AWAY : 32%

Based on Home team = 2.3 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 27%
AWAY : 20%


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