Palmeiras

1 - 1

Santos

Palmeiras Proves Impossible to Beat on Their Own Turf. Conversely, Santos FC remains perfect in their last 2 away fixtures.

Sat, May 2, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 43%
D: 29%
Away: 29%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.79 - 3.57 - 6.25)
HOMETEAM: 56%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 16%

Weight: [Distant] (73.68)
Intensity: [Tilted] (26.32)

Palmeiras (Fact Index 1.79):
Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Santos (Fact Index 6.25):
Expected Win % is 16%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Palmeiras:
T : 0.769 (0.747 / ▲0.022)
H : 1.000 (0.822 / ▲0.178)
P : 0.833 (0.836 / ▼0.003)

Santos:
T : 0.231 (0.450 / ▼0.219)
A : 0.000 (0.347 / ▼0.347)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
40%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Palmeiras : 67% (▲ 11%)
21% (▼ 7%)
Santos : 12% (▼ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 0.7 (Model B.4)
Palmeiras : 47% (▼ 9%)
28% (-)
Santos : 25% (▲ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.1 - 6.6
Palmeiras : 63% (▲ 7%)
23% (▼ 5%)
Santos : 14% (▼ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 7 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 57%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 19 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 42%
AWAY : 16%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 56%
D : 27%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.5 (63%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 13%
AWAY : 20%


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